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Shortly after the election, work out of Goldman Sachs showed that for each 1% the corporate ชุดผ้าปูที่นอน lotus tax rate was cut, S&P 500 earnings would grow by $1.50 per share. And as stocks rallied to new highs after the election, Wall Street seemed to view Trumps desire for lower corporate taxes and increased infrastructure spending as initiatives that would bolster corporate bottom lines and accelerate overall economic growth. But a new analysis from Ben Inker, head of GMOs asset allocation team, casts doubt on the idea that a tax cut would hit markets quickly, or that the impacts would be anything more than a quick sugar high. It is possible that [corporate tax cutswill be positive for the stock market], but it is neither theoretically clear that it should be nor empirically obvious that tax rate changes have been particularly important to profitability, Inker writes . Inker cites the following chart, which shows the relationship between US corporate profits and the statutory federal corporate tax rate. The correlation is, well, theres not much to see. View photos Source: GMO More While tax rates are currently at about their lowest levels and corporate profits just off of their highest, tax rates did their falling in the 1980s and the profit spike was a good 20 years later, Inker writes. Given that lag, it strains credibility to argue that the tax rate fall was an important driver of the rising profitability. What you would want to see is a relationship such that when tax rates fall over a period, profits rise. This does not seem to have been the case, as the correlation between tax rate change and profit change as a percent of GDP is positive over 3-, 5-, 7-, and 10-year periods. This means that tax rate falls have generally been associated with falling, not rising, profits. (Emphasis added.) Additionally, as Inkers chart shows, the profit cycle looks largely in-step with business and commodity cyclesand somewhat indifferent to the prevailing tax regime.
Rooms from 350, opened January 2017. Book here Henrietta Hotel The team behind Chinatowns Experimental Cocktail Bar is opening its first London hotel, after the success of its Parisian sister hotel. A sumptuous boutique number in Covent Garden, the Henrietta will have 18 bedrooms dressed with handpainted wallpaper, upholstered headboards and marble details. The beating heart of the hotel will be its eponymous restaurant, a chic fusion of ornate Victorian and sleek Art Deco led by London's star chef Ollie Dabbous. Rooms from 250, opening winter 2017. Book here Hip New Hangouts (Courthouse Hotel Shoreditch) More This hotly anticipated luxury boutique hotel once held a colourful array of guests. Formerly the Old Street Magistrates Court and Police Station, the Grade II listed building used to house the East Ends most notorious felons, including the Kray twins. Having undergone a luxurious renovation (to the tune of 40 million) the Courthouse Hotel is now a haven of spacious rooms, restaurants and bars. Theres even a bowling alley and a cinema - plead guilty! Rooms from 179, bookings from May 1st 2017. Book here The Curtain Michael Achenbaum, the brains behind New Yorks Gansevoort Hotel Group, is bringing his signature style across the pond with this hip new Shoreditch hangout.
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